Quant Candles

Quant Candles

Market intelligence

Markets

  • Overview
  • The Pod
  • Screener
  • Sectors
  • Compare
  • Portfolio

Workspace

    • Master framework
    • Tesla dossier
    • Sector frameworks
    • Elite performers
    • Cross-sector
    • Predictive engine

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Phase 1 · Master framework

The Pod

A quantitative encyclopedia of corporate behaviour — how companies are born, grow, compound, decline and fail. Scored on identical categories so the patterns repeat across sectors.

Companies scored

5

Master template + comparison universe

DNA categories

7

Company · Financial · Market · Earnings · Macro · Events · Behavioural

Earnings events indexed

847

Across the universe; expanding as we load history

Behavioural patterns

32

Probe-style yes/no/mixed signals per ticker

The end goal

Build a behavioural layer on top of 30–40 years of price history.

The Pod shifts the focus from storing historical data to extracting reusable intelligence. Same playbook, every company — scored with the same axes.

Open Tesla master dossier
  • 1

    Master framework

    Score every company on 7 DNA categories so the pattern repeats.

  • 2

    Sector frameworks

    Leader, pioneer, challenger, median, failure per sector.

  • 3

    Elite performers

    Compounders, cyclical winners, turnarounds, hypergrowth, dividend.

  • 4

    Cross-sector

    Why do healthcare firms outlive tech? Why do utilities rarely fail?

  • 5

    Predictive engine

    Query thousands of earnings events by behaviour, not just price.

The 7 DNA categories

Every company, scored the same way.

Phase 1 — Master Framework. The point isn't to understand Tesla; it's to build the framework that every future company follows.

See the master template
01 · Company DNA

Static facts

Industry, sector, IPO date, age, founder, CEO history, HQ, business model, revenue streams, geography.

  • Industry & sector
  • IPO date & company age
  • Founder-led?
  • +2 more fields
02 · Financial DNA

Built from every SEC filing

Revenue, margins, EPS, FCF, cash, debt, ROIC, ROE, share count, buybacks, dilution, capex, R&D, SG&A — and growth derived from all of it.

  • Revenue · margins · EPS · FCF
  • Cash · debt · ROIC · ROE
  • Buybacks vs dilution
  • +2 more fields
03 · Market DNA

How institutions treated the stock

Instead of just price: IPO performance, ATH timeline, drawdowns, recovery, beta, RS, vol, ownership, short, float, splits, indices.

  • ATH timeline + drawdowns
  • Beta, RS, realised vol
  • Institutional + insider ownership
  • +2 more fields
04 · Earnings DNA

Every release is an event

Track actual vs forecast vs prior-year for EPS and revenue. Then derive beat %, miss %, surprise %, gap, 1d / 5d / 20d returns.

  • Beat % / miss %
  • Surprise % (EPS + revenue)
  • Gap up / gap down
  • +2 more fields
05 · Macro DNA

What was the macro context?

Around every earnings event: rates, CPI, PPI, NFP, oil, DXY, VIX. Now you can answer 'when does this stock actually outperform?'

  • Fed funds · CPI · PPI · NFP
  • Oil · DXY · VIX
  • Regime-conditional returns
  • +1 more fields
06 · Fundamental events

Structured history

Every major event is another feature: CEO change, acquisition, share offering, split, product launch, regulatory issue, factory opening, legal case.

  • CEO change · acquisition
  • Share offering · split
  • Product launch · regulatory
  • +1 more fields
07 · Behavioural DNA

The personality layer

Probe questions, answered YES / NO / MIXED with sample size and evidence. This is where the long-term edge lives.

  • Outperforms after raising guidance?
  • Sell off after good earnings?
  • Recovers quickly?
  • +2 more fields

Master template + comparison universe

Behavioural scorecard.

Ranked by EPS beat rate weighted with average 5-day return after earnings — a quick way to spot behavioural outliers.

See elite classification
#SymbolSectorBeat rateAvg 5d retCAGR 5yScore
01
NVDANVIDIA Corp.
Technology88%+5.8%64.3%84Dossier
02
VVisa Inc.
Financials80%+1.0%9.8%70Dossier
03
MSFTMicrosoft Corp.
Technology78%+1.2%16.8%69Dossier
04
COSTCostco Wholesale
Consumer Staples70%+1.3%12.8%65Dossier
05
TSLATesla, Inc.
Consumer Discretionary53%+2.6%25.4%57Dossier

Phase 2 · Sector frameworks

Leader · Pioneer · Challenger · Median · Failure

Every sector gets its own ecosystem. The Median shows what 'normal' looks like; the Failure teaches as much as the Leader.

Open sector frameworks

Technology

LeaderMSFT
PioneerIBM
ChallengerNVDA
MedianAKAM
FailureINTC

14.6% avg 20y CAGR · 22y avg survival

Consumer Discretionary

LeaderAMZN
PioneerMCD
ChallengerTSLA
MedianBBWI
FailureBBBY

9.4% avg 20y CAGR · 19y avg survival

Consumer Staples

LeaderCOST
PioneerKO
ChallengerELF
MedianKMB
FailurePRGO

8.7% avg 20y CAGR · 32y avg survival

Financials

LeaderBRK.B
PioneerJPM
ChallengerCOIN
MedianCFG
FailureFRC

9.1% avg 20y CAGR · 28y avg survival

Phase 3 · Elite performers

Compounders · Cyclical winners · Turnarounds · Hypergrowth · Dividend.

Phase 3 classifies the universe by behavioural pattern, not market cap.

Open performer list

Compounder

4

Top: MSFT

Cyclical Winner

3

Top: NVDA

Turnaround

3

Top: AAPL

Hypergrowth

3

Top: TSLA

Dividend Compounder

3

Top: JNJ

Phase 5 · Predictive engine

Query the event database.

Every earnings release becomes an event. Click a preset to see how many historical events match the criteria.

Open query UI
  • Beated EPS by >15%, raised guidance, expanding gross margins, within 10% of ATH

    epsSurpriseMin=15 · guidanceDirection=raised · marginExpansionMin=1 · athDistanceMaxPct=10

    matches87
  • Missed EPS but rallied >5% in the following month

    epsSurpriseMin=-10 · forwardReturnMinPct=5 · forwardReturnDays=20

    matches213
  • Pre-leadership characteristics: small market cap, accelerating revenue, positive earnings revisions, insider buying

    revenueSurpriseMin=10

    matches142
  • Outperformance during Fed-cutting cycles, last 30 years

    macroRegime=Fed cutting

    matches1,844
  • Election years, EPS beats only, top quartile

    macroRegime=Election year · epsSurpriseMin=5

    matches122
  • Recession quarters, defensive names that still beat

    macroRegime=Recession · epsSurpriseMin=0

    matches68

Master template

Tesla — scored on every axis.

Use Tesla as the reference. Every other company will eventually share this shape.

Open full dossier

CAGR since IPO

+38.4%

2010 → today · 16y

Earnings beat rate

53%

Across 32 quarters

Max drawdown

-73%

Recovery 28m · β 2.12